Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.450528 1.679247 1.930995 2.228478 2.570252 2.950477 3.405451
2025-03-23 1.155026 1.459028 1.822352 2.287936 2.868146 3.566838 4.471672
2025-03-30 0.937863 1.279341 1.718056 2.321573 3.128849 4.170031 5.613655
2025-04-06 0.760706 1.112399 1.594695 2.301857 3.309665 4.691486 6.727226
2025-04-13 0.595888 0.929072 1.414231 2.168428 3.307309 4.958208 7.527932
2025-04-20 0.519124 0.857612 1.377849 2.230180 3.585665 5.650521 9.025805
2025-04-27 0.467640 0.814746 1.375309 2.338880 3.945339 6.505374 10.879921
2025-05-04 0.414295 0.758750 1.341443 2.389030 4.214097 7.246942 12.647050
2025-05-11 0.365650 0.701936 1.296192 2.410551 4.433582 7.929543 14.397547
2025-05-18 0.312509 0.627706 1.208528 2.342563 4.483948 8.325016 15.695487
2025-05-25 0.262308 0.550353 1.102956 2.224502 4.423576 8.511062 16.631773
2025-06-01 0.232702 0.508524 1.057915 2.213846 4.560948 9.069760 18.319995
2025-06-08 0.200677 0.457457 0.989189 2.150408 4.594767 9.452372 19.752577
2025-06-15 0.189908 0.450123 1.008622 2.270808 5.017068 10.646824 22.950142
2025-06-22 0.176007 0.433486 1.005892 2.343686 5.350165 11.703078 26.001264
2025-06-29 0.158516 0.405530 0.974115 2.347790 5.534932 12.473459 28.547434
2025-07-06 0.134899 0.358695 0.892332 2.225587 5.420201 12.587245 29.680595
2025-07-13 0.126311 0.347821 0.893142 2.297545 5.761803 13.746933 33.295798
2025-07-20 0.120984 0.344458 0.911593 2.414910 6.226783 15.241282 37.862821
2025-07-27 0.112806 0.332051 0.905562 2.470031 6.547044 16.436712 41.869762
2025-08-03 0.103985 0.316315 0.888571 2.494331 6.793018 17.483596 45.643977
2025-08-10 0.092158 0.289876 0.839162 2.425269 6.788586 17.916855 47.949132
2025-08-17 0.079787 0.259528 0.774276 2.303862 6.627674 17.935692 49.198102